Palantir Technologies Inc.

PLTR

112.78 (4.49%) 5.06

264.51(B)

Information Technology

Software

Palantir Technologies Inc. builds and deploys software platforms for the intelligence community to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations in the United States the United Kingdom and internationally. It provides Palantir Gotham a software platform which enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants as well as facilitates the hand-off between analysts and operational users helping operators plan and execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform. The company also offers Palantir Foundry a platform that transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place. In addition it provides Palantir Apollo a software that delivers software and updates across the business as well as enables customers to deploy their software virtually in any environment; and Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform that provides unified access to open-source self-hosted and commercial large language models (LLMs) that can transform structured and unstructured data into LLM-understandable objects and can turn organizations’ actions and processes into tools for humans and LLM-driven agents. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Denver Colorado.

My Holdings:

Cost basis:

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Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) price target and intrinsic value estimate

PLTR's fair price estimate is $31.6

This valuation is based on a fair P/E of 23.7 and EPS estimates of $1.34

The median analyst price target for PLTR is $90.6.

Analyst price targets range from $18.0 to $125.0

Is PLTR overvalued or undervalued?

PLTR is currently trading at $112.78

PLTR is overvalued by 72% using the pevaluation method.

PLTR is overvalued by 20% compared to median analyst price targets.

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Valuation

PEvaluation

72% overvalued

Low

$23.7

Median

$31.6

High

$39.5

$112.8

Fair P/E

Margin of safety

Analyst Valuation

20% overvalued

Low

$18.0

Median

$90.6

High

$125.0

$112.8

Strong Buy1

Buy3

Hold16

Sell4

Strong Sell1

Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

N/A
Negative FCF or FCF estimates

Discount rateNaN%

Growth rate10.0%

Terminal rate7.0%

Economic moat: Wide

Overview

Market data

Market cap:$264.51(B)

Enterprise value:$259.61(B)

Total Equity:$5.09(B)

Shares outstanding:2.35(B)

Div. yield:0.00%

P/S:88.80

P/E:537.05

P/FCF:230.16

P/B:52.70

EPS:$0.2

FCF per share:$0.5

Dividend per share:$0.0

Income (TTM)

Revenue$2.87(B)

Gross profit$2.30(B)

EBITDA$341.99(M)

Net income$462.19(M)

Gross margin80.3%

Net margin16.1%

Balance sheet

Total assets$6.34(B)

Total liabilities$1.25(B)

Cash & Short-term inv.$5.23(B)

Long-term debt$0

Debt issued$0

Debt repaid$0

Cash flow (TTM)

FCF$1.14(B)

CapEx$-12.63(M)

Dividends paid$0

Stock issued$745.40(M)

Stock repurchased$-282.48(M)

Stock-based comp.$691.64(M)

Per Share Data

Zoom x1

Show Growth

Growth Estimates

Revenue

CAGR: 31.6%

FY+1$3.77(B)

FY+2(+27.6%)$4.81(B)

FY+3(+32.6%)$6.38(B)

FY+4(+34.9%)$8.60(B)

FY+5(+31.4%)$11.30(B)

Net Income

CAGR: 34.5%

FY+1$1.43(B)

FY+2(+28.9%)$1.84(B)

FY+3(+36.0%)$2.51(B)

FY+4(+38.2%)$3.46(B)

FY+5(+35.2%)$4.68(B)

EPS

CAGR: 36.5%

FY+1$0.55

FY+2(+27.3%)$0.70

FY+3(+30.0%)$0.91

FY+4(+54.9%)$1.41

FY+5(+35.5%)$1.91

FCF per share

CAGR: 19.5%

FY+1$0.70

FY+2(+35.7%)$0.95

FY+3(+5.3%)$1.00

Similar Companies

Historical Financials

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YearlyQuarterly

Income

	FY2018	FY2019	FY2020	FY2021	FY2022	FY2023	FY2024	TTM	5Y avg	5Y CAGR
Revenue			1.09(B)	1.54(B)	1.91(B)	2.23(B)	2.87(B)	2.87(B)	1.93(B)	27%
COGS			352.55(M)	339.40(M)	408.55(M)	431.11(M)	565.99(M)	565.99(M)	419.52(M)	13%
Gross Profit			740.13(M)	1.20(B)	1.50(B)	1.79(B)	2.30(B)	2.30(B)	1.51(B)	33%
Total OpEx.			1.91(B)	1.61(B)	1.66(B)	1.67(B)	1.99(B)	1.99(B)	1.77(B)	1%
R&D			560.66(M)	387.49(M)	359.68(M)	404.62(M)	507.88(M)	507.88(M)	444.07(M)	-2%
SG&A			1.35(B)	1.23(B)	1.30(B)	1.27(B)	1.48(B)	1.48(B)	1.33(B)	2%
Operating Income			-1.17(B)	-411.05(M)	-161.20(M)	119.97(M)	310.40(M)	310.40(M)	-263.11(M)	N/A%
Interest Expense			-14.14(M)	-3.64(M)	-4.06(M)	-3.47(M)	0.00	0.00	-5.06(M)	-100%
Interest Income			4.68(M)	1.61(M)	20.31(M)	132.57(M)	196.79(M)	196.79(M)	71.19(M)	155%
Pre-tax income			-1.18(B)	-488.49(M)	-361.03(M)	237.09(M)	489.17(M)	489.17(M)	-260.46(M)	N/A%
Income tax			12.64(M)	-31.89(M)	-10.07(M)	-19.72(M)	-21.25(M)	-21.25(M)	-14.06(M)	N/A%
Net Income			-1.17(B)	-520.38(M)	-373.70(M)	209.82(M)	462.19(M)	462.19(M)	-277.69(M)	N/A%

Cash flow

	FY2018	FY2019	FY2020	FY2021	FY2022	FY2023	FY2024	TTM	5Y avg	5Y CAGR
CFO			-296.61(M)	333.85(M)	223.74(M)	712.18(M)	1.15(B)	1.15(B)	425.41(M)	N/A%
Net Income			-1.17(B)	-520.38(M)	-371.09(M)	217.38(M)	467.92(M)	467.92(M)	-274.51(M)	N/A%
D&A			13.87(M)	14.90(M)	22.52(M)	33.35(M)	31.59(M)	31.59(M)	23.25(M)	23%
Stock-based Comp.			1.27(B)	778.22(M)	564.80(M)	475.90(M)	691.64(M)	691.64(M)	756.25(M)	-14%
FCF			-308.84(M)	321.22(M)	183.71(M)	697.07(M)	1.14(B)	1.14(B)	406.88(M)	N/A%
CFF			1.04(B)	306.75(M)	86.00(M)	218.84(M)	463.36(M)	463.36(M)	422.28(M)	-18%
Stock Issued			942.53(M)	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	188.51(M)	-100%
Stock Repurchased			-3.78(M)	0.00	0.00	0.00	-64.20(M)	-64.20(M)	-13.59(M)	103%
Debt Issued			199.37(M)	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	39.87(M)	-100%
Debt Repaid			-400.00(M)	-200.00(M)	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-120.00(M)	-100%
Dividend Paid			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	N/A%
CFI			-14.92(M)	-397.91(M)	-45.43(M)	-2.71(B)	-340.65(M)	-340.65(M)	-702.02(M)	119%
Acquisitions			-2.93(M)	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-586800	-100%
Divestitures			0.00	0.00	66.71(M)	0.00	0.00	0.00	13.34(M)	N/A%
Capital Expenditures			-12.24(M)	-12.63(M)	-40.03(M)	-15.11(M)	-12.63(M)	-12.63(M)	-18.53(M)	1%

Balance sheet

	FY2018	FY2019	FY2020	FY2021	FY2022	FY2023	FY2024	TTM	5Y avg	5Y CAGR
Total Assets			2.69(B)	3.25(B)	3.46(B)	4.52(B)	6.34(B)	6.34(B)	4.05(B)	24%
Current assets			2.26(B)	2.86(B)	3.04(B)	4.14(B)	5.93(B)	5.93(B)	3.65(B)	27%
Cash and Equivalents			2.01(B)	2.29(B)	2.60(B)	831.05(M)	2.10(B)	2.10(B)	1.97(B)	1%
Short-term investments			0.00	234.15(M)	35.13(M)	2.84(B)	3.13(B)	3.13(B)	1.25(B)	N/A%
Inventories			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	N/A%
Receivables			156.93(M)	190.92(M)	258.35(M)	364.78(M)	575.05(M)	575.05(M)	309.21(M)	38%
Non-current assets			433.07(M)	384.20(M)	419.66(M)	383.81(M)	406.60(M)	406.60(M)	405.47(M)	-2%
Net PP&E			246.62(M)	248.20(M)	269.41(M)	230.62(M)	240.38(M)	240.38(M)	247.05(M)	-1%
Goodwill			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	N/A%
Total Liabilities			1.17(B)	956.42(M)	818.80(M)	961.46(M)	1.25(B)	1.25(B)	1.03(B)	2%
Current liabilities			603.82(M)	660.06(M)	587.94(M)	746.02(M)	996.02(M)	996.02(M)	718.77(M)	13%
Accounts payable			16.36(M)	74.91(M)	44.79(M)	12.12(M)	103000	103000	29.66(M)	-72%
Non-current liabilities			564.13(M)	296.36(M)	230.86(M)	215.44(M)	250.46(M)	250.46(M)	311.45(M)	-18%
Long-Term Debt			197.98(M)	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	39.60(M)	-100%
Total Equity			1.52(B)	2.29(B)	2.64(B)	3.56(B)	5.09(B)	5.09(B)	3.02(B)	35%

Per share data

EPS (Basic)FCF/ShareDividend/ShareEPS (Diluted)Book value/ShareCash & ST inv./ShareDebt/Share

Ratios

P/EP/SEV/EarningsP/FCFP/BEV/FCFDebt/EquityPayout ratio

Margins

Net Income MarginOperating MarginGross MarginEBITDA MarginFCF Margin

Returns

ROICROAROCEROE

Shares outstanding

Shares (Basic)Shares (Diluted)

Market Cap.

Calculators

Discounted Cash Flow

Forecast years
Terminal Growth Rate
Discount Rate

Free cash flow estimates:

Y+1 est.

Y+2 est.

0.00%

Y+3 est.

0.00%

Y+4 est.

0.00%

Y+5 est.

0.00%

Target price

Discounted Cash Flow (exit mult.)

Forecast years
Exit FCF Multiple
Discount Rate

Free cash flow estimates:

Y+1 est.

Y+2 est.

0.00%

Y+3 est.

0.00%

Y+4 est.

0.00%

Y+5 est.

0.00%

Target price

Future P/E valuation

Projection Years
Base Revenue
Revenue Growth Rate
Final Net Margin
Final P/E Ratio
Discount Rate

Target price

Dividend discount model

Annual Dividend
First Stage Length (Years)
First Stage Growth Rate
Final Growth Rate
Discount Rate

Target price

Graham formula

Earnings Per Share
Expected Growth Rate
Government Bond Rate

Target price

Dividend income

Investment Amount
Dividend Yield

Required investment

Dividend Yield
Yearly Payout
Quarterly Payout
Monthly Payout